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Is there any advice you could give us about the current market? We have agreed we don’t want to overpay, buy above an assessed value or get emotionally involved in bidding wars (like we have in the past). Our preapproval expires again soon. Should we wait?
A: Five years of looking! Wow. We wonder what you’re waiting for. Five years ago, prices in the Boston area were far below where they are now, and interest rates were lower. Your dollar would have had far greater buying power than it does today.
Most of the country is experiencing soaring home values, and we get it. Combined with rising interest rates (as of this writing, interest rates for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage are up more than 1 percentage point from a year ago), it’s scary. It might feel as though every week your dollar buys less.
We suspect the answer to why you’ve been sitting on the fence for five years, though, is more psychological. It’s hard to commit to buying a home if you believe something better is just around the corner: a better house, on a better lot, with better finishes, in a better neighborhood, with better schools. “Something better” is a mind-set that befuddles many first-time buyers.
If it isn’t waiting for “something better,” you might be worrying about whether you’re overpaying, no matter what price you wind up paying. That can stymie your home shopping efforts and create a lose-lose scenario where you regret winning the bid (because you’re worried you overpaid) and you regret losing the house (because you’ve missed out on another opportunity to be a homeowner).
By the way, we understand what it’s like to feel as though prices are escalating beyond reach. According to Redfin, home prices reached new highs in the four-week period ending March 20, as fewer homeowners listed their homes for sale. The study found median home sale prices rose 17 percent year-over-year, the number of active listings on the market fell to an all-time low, and half of homes sold for above list price.
First-time buyers everywhere are feeling the pinch with more pain to come. In the 2022 National Association of Realtors Home Buyer and Seller Generational Trends report, first-time buyers made up 34 percent of all home buyers. In February 2022, first-time buyers accounted for 29 percent of home sales, near 2014 levels, according to the Realtors Confidence Index. With interest rates rising along with home prices, it’s going to be even tougher for first-time buyers to afford a home.
Which brings us back to what you should be doing. In general, we think the best time to buy a home is when you can afford to live in your neighborhood(s) of choice, even if you buy a smaller home on a smaller lot. Can you afford to buy something, somewhere? Surely in five years your income has risen, even if it hasn’t kept pace with home value increases.
We’ve long said that if you’re really ready to buy, today is the right time. If you can buy something you’ll be happy with, then you should buy. Don’t fool yourself into thinking that if you aren’t buying your “forever” home, it isn’t worth getting in the game. It is. But you may have to settle for a smaller home with fewer amenities right now. On the other hand, you’ll be building equity with each payment and hopefully will find a place you can stay for at least five to seven years.
Most first-time buyers who get stuck eventually get up the nerve to make a winning offer after they’ve missed out on a few homes. That hasn’t happened to you, but don’t let fear rule the day. If you pay $24,000 per year to rent, that’s money that could be spent on a mortgage, with a portion of each payment going to pay down your loan balance.
Consider this: Unless you’re living with your parents, the cost of renting is also skyrocketing. Redfin notes that asking rents increased an average of 15 percent year-over-year, rising some 40 percent in Austin.
So, unless you plan to move from a high cost neighborhood to a lower cost one, consider buying, especially if the cost of ownership is less than what you pay in rent. Do the numbers, take a deep breath and call your agent.
Ilyce Glink is the author of “100 Questions Every First-Time Home Buyer Should Ask” (Fourth Edition). She is also the chief executive of Best Money Moves, an app that employers provide to employees to measure and dial down financial stress. Samuel J. Tamkin is a Chicago-based real estate attorney. Contact them through the website, BestMoneyMoves.com.
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